The Issue Drivers Don’t See
By La Velle Goodwin
Collision Prevention Specialist
Founder, Driving Hero Academy
Most serious intersection collisions don’t occur because drivers break the law - they occur because drivers fail
to see or correctly interpret developing threats. Data from U.S. and Canadian studies shows that recognition
errors, misjudgment of gaps, and over-reliance on right-of-way rules dominate collision causation. This article
explains why ordinary drivers are vulnerable at intersections and what strategic driving practices can prevent
collisions.
Key Takeaways
• Roughly one-quarter of U.S. traffic fatalities and about half of all traffic injuries occur at intersections.
Source: Federal Highway Administration – Intersection Safety
• In the National Motor Vehicle Crash Causation Survey (NMVCCS), roughly 96% of intersection collision events
had driver-attributed critical reasons, with recognition errors dominating.
Source: NMVCCS – National Academies Press
• Recognition errors - failing to see or misinterpreting hazards - are the largest driver-related cause of
collisions.
• Legal right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a safety guarantee.
• Skilled drivers shift focus from “Do I have priority?” to “What could go wrong here right now?”
The Trap Most Drivers Fall Into
Most drivers are trained to follow rules and assume that compliance equates to safety. Over time, this leads
to predictable vulnerabilities:
•
Late threat recognition
•
Narrow or incomplete scanning
•
Overcommitment to a chosen path of travel
•
No contingency planning if expectations are violated
These drivers are not reckless. They are rule-focused, and rule-focus without threat awareness can blind
drivers to developing hazards. Rules organize traffic but cannot substitute for real-time threat assessment.
The Data Behind the Problem
According to the Federal Highway Administration, intersections account for roughly one-quarter of traffic
fatalities and about half of all injuries.
In the NMVCCS crash causation survey, roughly 96% of intersection collision events were driver-attributed,
meaning the last failure in the chain was linked to driver behavior - not legal fault or recklessness.
Recognition errors - such as inattention, inadequate surveillance, or failing to detect another road user in
time - were the largest single category.
Canadian collision patterns at intersections show nearly identical trends, reinforcing the global relevance of
these findings.
Survival Requires a Different Question
Rule-based driving asks: “Do I have the right of way?”
Crash-avoidance driving asks: “What could go wrong here right now?”
Skilled drivers evaluate:
•
Time-to-conflict rather than assumed priority
•
Speed differentials rather than signals alone
•
Line-of-sight limitations rather than ideal behaviours
•
Probability of human error rather than expected compliance
This is the difference between compliance driving and strategic driving.
Why Recognition Errors Kill
Recognition errors account for roughly four out of ten crashes when categorized conservatively. When related
subcategories are combined, recognition failures represent approximately half of all collision events.
Decision errors - misjudging gaps, assuming another driver’s intent, or driving too fast for conditions -
account for an additional one-third of intersection collisions.
Together, this shows that the majority of serious collisions occur because drivers either fail to see the hazard
or misjudge it, not because they break rules knowingly.
The Older Driver Paradox
NHTSA’s analysis shows older drivers are disproportionately involved in failure-to-yield collisions at stop signs
and traffic signals, despite obeying all traffic controls. Common contributing factors:
•
Inadequate surveillance
•
Misjudgment of another vehicle’s speed or gap
•
Turning with an obstructed view
These drivers rely on the rule rather than active threat assessment, exposing a systemic vulnerability.
How Licensing and Testing Reinforce the Problem
Driver exams reward:
•
Rule adherence
•
Procedural correctness
•
Visible compliance
They don’t test:
•
Early threat detection
•
Predictive scanning patterns
•
Risk calibration under uncertainty
•
Decision-making with incomplete information
•
Recognition of visual obstructions and human error
As a result, drivers graduate thinking the system has prepared them for real-world driving, when data shows
otherwise.
Most Fatal Collisions Don’t Involve “Bad Drivers”
•
They involve ordinary people on ordinary trips
•
Ordinary decisions made a fraction of a second too late
Right-of-way failures consistently rank among the top contributing factors in fatal intersection collisions.
Collisions occur not because rules were broken but because rules were trusted to provide protection.
The Four Most Dangerous Assumptions at Intersections
•
“I have the green light, so it’s safe to go.”
•
“They’re slowing down; they see me.”
•
“The other driver will follow the rules.”
•
“I stopped, so I’m good to go.”
Rule compliance cannot substitute for scanning, threat anticipation, and margin-building.
A Better Way to Think About Right-of-Way
Right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a shield. Legally, drivers must yield when conditions demand it - no
one truly “has” the right-of-way until another driver yields through their actions.
Skilled drivers:
•
Yield even when legally entitled
•
Delay when information is incomplete
•
Sacrifice priority for margin
•
Treat legality as secondary to survivability
This is strategic driving.
Cognitive Tunnelling: Why Rules Can Blind Drivers
Focusing exclusively on rule compliance narrows attention and excludes peripheral hazards. Drivers ask: “Did
I stop fully?” instead of “What behaviour cannot be predicted from here?”
Recognition failures are consistent because drivers aren’t trained to look for the threats that actually matter.
The Goal Isn’t to Be Right. It’s to Get Home
Safe driving is about managing risk where:
•
Humans make mistakes
•
Attention fails
•
Conditions change
•
Physics never negotiates
Right-of-way organizes traffic; assuming it does anything more can be deadly.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What causes most serious intersection collisions?
A: Recognition errors - failure to notice or misinterpret hazards - account for the majority of serious
intersection collisions.
Q: Does having the right-of-way make driving safe?
A: No. Right-of-way is a coordination tool, not a safety guarantee. Blind reliance leads to collisions.
Q: How common are driver-related causes in collisions?
A: In NMVCCS, about 96% of intersection collision events were driver-attributed.
Q: How can drivers prevent collisions at intersections?
A: Focus on threat anticipation, strategic scanning, assuming others may not follow rules, and leaving margin
for error.
About the Author
La Velle Goodwin has spent nearly three decades thinking about why driver behavior is so hard to change,
and how to actually change it.
Her path into road safety was not a career plan. Hired into the sales department at Young Drivers of Canada,
she was required to take the program as a condition of employment. She went from believing her aggressive
driving habits were a sign of skill to recognizing they had been a sustained act of luck. That shift was sharp
enough that she immersed herself in crash research, driver psychology, and industry training standards
before becoming their on-air expert for media, and eventually completing YDC's instructor certification, a
process requiring more than four times the training of a standard driving instructor license with mandatory
annual recertification requiring instructors to retrain and meet progressively higher scoring targets on
practical in-car exams, advancing through successive certification levels as a condition of continued
employment.
She delivered YDC's commercial driver training program, Collision Free, working directly with experienced
drivers and observing first-hand the attitudes, blind spots, and psychological reluctance that make behavior
change so difficult to achieve in professional driver populations.
After leaving YDC, she founded an entertainment company producing live, interactive events for corporate
clients including oil and gas companies, Canada Post, and the Calgary Board of Education. Every program was
built on a single mechanism: competitive psychology. She learned, in practice, how to use the human drive to
compete to move people toward behavior they would never choose on their own.
She has been combining those two bodies of expertise ever since, and it is the reason she understands not
just why drivers trust rules over threat assessment, but how to build fleets that don't.
ACADEMY
DRIVING HERO
The Issue Drivers Don’t See
Privacy Policy | Terms
By La Velle Goodwin
Collision Prevention Specialist
Founder, Driving Hero Academy
Most serious intersection collisions
don’t occur because drivers break the
law - they occur because drivers fail
to see or correctly interpret
developing threats. Data from U.S.
and Canadian studies shows that
recognition errors, misjudgment of
gaps, and over-reliance on right-of-
way rules dominate collision
causation. This article explains why
ordinary drivers are vulnerable at
intersections and what strategic
driving practices can prevent
collisions.
Key Takeaways
• Roughly one-quarter of U.S. traffic
fatalities and about half of all traffic
injuries occur at intersections.
Source: Federal Highway
Administration – Intersection Safety
• In the National Motor Vehicle Crash
Causation Survey (NMVCCS), roughly
96% of intersection collision events
had driver-attributed critical reasons,
with recognition errors dominating.
Source: NMVCCS – National
Academies Press
• Recognition errors - failing to see or
misinterpreting hazards - are the
largest driver-related cause of
collisions.
• Legal right-of-way is a coordination
tool, not a safety guarantee.
• Skilled drivers shift focus from “Do I
have priority?” to “What could go
wrong here right now?”
The Trap Most Drivers
Fall Into
Most drivers are trained to follow
rules and assume that compliance
equates to safety. Over time, this
leads to predictable vulnerabilities:
•
Late threat recognition
•
Narrow or incomplete scanning
•
Overcommitment to a chosen
path of travel
•
No contingency planning if
expectations are violated
These drivers are not reckless. They
are rule-focused, and rule-focus
without threat awareness can blind
drivers to developing hazards. Rules
organize traffic but cannot substitute
for real-time threat assessment.
The Data Behind the
Problem
According to the Federal Highway
Administration, intersections account
for roughly one-quarter of traffic
fatalities and about half of all injuries.
In the NMVCCS crash causation
survey, roughly 96% of intersection
collision events were driver-
attributed, meaning the last failure in
the chain was linked to driver
behavior - not legal fault or
recklessness. Recognition errors -
such as inattention, inadequate
surveillance, or failing to detect
another road user in time - were the
largest single category.
Canadian collision patterns at
intersections show nearly identical
trends, reinforcing the global
relevance of these findings.
Survival Requires a
Different Question
Rule-based driving asks: “Do I have
the right of way?”
Crash-avoidance driving asks: “What
could go wrong here right now?”
Skilled drivers evaluate:
•
Time-to-conflict rather than
assumed priority
•
Speed differentials rather than
signals alone
•
Line-of-sight limitations rather
than ideal behaviours
•
Probability of human error rather
than expected compliance
This is the difference between
compliance driving and strategic
driving.
Why Recognition Errors
Kill
Recognition errors account for
roughly four out of ten crashes when
categorized conservatively. When
related subcategories are combined,
recognition failures represent
approximately half of all collision
events.
Decision errors - misjudging gaps,
assuming another driver’s intent, or
driving too fast for conditions -
account for an additional one-third of
intersection collisions.
Together, this shows that the majority
of serious collisions occur because
drivers either fail to see the hazard or
misjudge it, not because they break
rules knowingly.
The Older Driver
Paradox
NHTSA’s analysis shows older drivers
are disproportionately involved in
failure-to-yield collisions at stop signs
and traffic signals, despite obeying all
traffic controls. Common contributing
factors:
•
Inadequate surveillance
•
Misjudgment of another vehicle’s
speed or gap
•
Turning with an obstructed view
These drivers rely on the rule rather
than active threat assessment,
exposing a systemic vulnerability.
How Licensing and
Testing Reinforce the
Problem
Driver exams reward:
•
Rule adherence
•
Procedural correctness
•
Visible compliance
They don’t test:
•
Early threat detection
•
Predictive scanning patterns
•
Risk calibration under uncertainty
•
Decision-making with incomplete
information
•
Recognition of visual obstructions
and human error
As a result, drivers graduate thinking
the system has prepared them for
real-world driving, when data shows
otherwise.
Most Fatal Collisions
Don’t Involve “Bad
Drivers”
•
They involve ordinary people on
ordinary trips
•
Ordinary decisions made a
fraction of a second too late
Right-of-way failures consistently
rank among the top contributing
factors in fatal intersection collisions.
Collisions occur not because rules
were broken but because rules were
trusted to provide protection.
The Four Most
Dangerous Assumptions
at Intersections
•
“I have the green light, so it’s safe
to go.”
•
“They’re slowing down; they see
me.”
•
“The other driver will follow the
rules.”
•
“I stopped, so I’m good to go.”
Rule compliance cannot substitute for
scanning, threat anticipation, and
margin-building.
A Better Way to Think
About Right-of-Way
Right-of-way is a coordination tool,
not a shield. Legally, drivers must
yield when conditions demand it - no
one truly “has” the right-of-way until
another driver yields through their
actions.
Skilled drivers:
•
Yield even when legally entitled
•
Delay when information is
incomplete
•
Sacrifice priority for margin
•
Treat legality as secondary to
survivability
This is strategic driving.
Cognitive Tunnelling:
Why Rules Can Blind
Drivers
Focusing exclusively on rule
compliance narrows attention and
excludes peripheral hazards. Drivers
ask: “Did I stop fully?” instead of
“What behaviour cannot be perceived
from here?”
Recognition failures are consistent
because drivers aren’t trained to look
for the threats that actually matter.
The Goal Isn’t to Be
Right. It’s to Get Home
Safe driving is about managing risk
where:
•
Humans make mistakes
•
Attention fails
•
Conditions change
•
Physics never negotiates
Right-of-way organizes traffic;
assuming it does anything more can
be deadly.
Frequently Asked
Questions
Q: What causes most serious
intersection collisions?
A: Recognition errors - failure to
notice or misinterpret hazards -
account for the majority of serious
intersection collisions.
Q: Does having the right-of-
way make driving safe?
A: No. Right-of-way is a coordination
tool, not a safety guarantee. Blind
reliance leads to collisions.
Q: How common are driver-
related causes in collisions?
A: In NMVCCS, about 96% of
intersection collision events were
driver-attributed.
Q: How can drivers prevent
collisions at intersections?
A: Focus on threat anticipation,
strategic scanning, assuming others
may not follow rules, and leaving
margin for error.
About the Author
La Velle Goodwin has spent nearly
three decades thinking about why
driver behavior is so hard to change,
and how to actually change it.
Her path into road safety was not a
career plan. Hired into the sales
department at Young Drivers of
Canada, she was required to take the
program as a condition of
employment. She went from believing
her aggressive driving habits were a
sign of skill to recognizing they had
been a sustained act of luck. That
shift was sharp enough that she
immersed herself in crash research,
driver psychology, and industry
training standards before becoming
their on-air expert for media, and
eventually completing YDC's
instructor certification, a process
requiring more than four times the
training of a standard driving
instructor license with mandatory
annual recertification requiring
instructors to retrain and meet
progressively higher scoring targets
on practical in-car exams, advancing
through successive certification levels
as a condition of continued
employment.
She delivered YDC's commercial
driver training program, Collision
Free, working directly with
experienced drivers and observing
firsthand the attitudes, blind spots,
and psychological reluctance that
make behavior change so difficult to
achieve in professional driver
populations.
After leaving YDC, she founded an
entertainment company producing
live, interactive events for corporate
clients including oil and gas
companies, Canada Post, and the
Calgary Board of Education. Every
program was built on a single
mechanism: competitive psychology.
She learned, in practice, how to use
the human drive to compete to move
people toward behavior they would
never choose on their own.
She has been combining those two
bodies of expertise ever since, and it
is the reason she understands not
just why drivers trust rules over
threat assessment, but how to build
fleets that don't.